Publications

Lenton, T. M., Buxton, J. E., Armstrong McKay, D. I., Abrams, J. F., Boulton, C. A., Lees, K., … & Dakos, V. (2022). A resilience sensing system for the biosphere. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 377(1857), 20210383.

Boulton, C. A., Lenton, T. M., & Boers, N. (2022). Pronounced loss of Amazon rainforest resilience since the early 2000s. Nature Climate Change, 12(3), 271-278.

Buxton, J. E., Abrams, J. F., Boulton, C. A., Barlow, N., Rangel Smith, C., Van Stroud, S., … & Lenton, T. M. (2022). Quantitatively monitoring the resilience of patterned vegetation in the Sahel. Global Change Biology, 28(2), 571-587.

Bury, T. M., Sujith, R. I., Pavithran, I., Scheffer, M., Lenton, T. M., Anand, M., & Bauch, C. T. (2021). Deep learning for early warning signals of tipping points. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(39).

Bury, T. M., Bauch, C. T., & Anand, M. (2020). Detecting and distinguishing tipping points using spectral early warning signals. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 17(170), 20200482.

Phillips, B., Anand, M., & Bauch, C. T. (2020). Spatial early warning signals of social and epidemiological tipping points in a coupled behaviour-disease network. Scientific reports, 10(1), 1-12.

Lenton, T. M., Rockström, J., Gaffney, O., Rahmstorf, S., Richardson, K., Steffen, W., & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2019). Climate tipping points—too risky to bet against. Nature 575, 592-595.

Boulton, C. A., & Lenton, T. M. (2019). A new method for detecting abrupt shifts in time series. F1000Research, 8(746), 746.

Bauch, C. T., Sigdel, R., Pharaon, J., & Anand, M. (2016). Early warning signals of regime shifts in coupled human–environment systems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113(51), 14560-14567.

Cai, Y., Lenton, T. M., & Lontzek, T. S. (2016). Risk of multiple interacting tipping points should encourage rapid CO2 emission reduction. Nature Climate Change, 6(5), 520-525.

Henderson, K. A., Bauch, C. T., & Anand, M. (2016). Alternative stable states and the sustainability of forests, grasslands, and agriculture. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113(51), 14552-14559.

Boulton, C. A., & Lenton, T. M. (2015). Slowing down of North Pacific climate variability and its implications for abrupt ecosystem change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 112(37), 11496-11501.

Boulton, C. A., Allison, L. C., & Lenton, T. M. (2014). Early warning signals of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation collapse in a fully coupled climate model. Nature communications, 5(1), 1-9.

Lenton, T. M., Livina, V. N., Dakos, V., Van Nes, E. H., & Scheffer, M. (2012). Early warning of climate tipping points from critical slowing down: comparing methods to improve robustness. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 370(1962), 1185-1204.

Lenton, T. M. (2011). Early warning of climate tipping points. Nature climate change, 1(4), 201-209.

Lenton, T. M., Held, H., Kriegler, E., Hall, J. W., Lucht, W., Rahmstorf, S., & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2008). Tipping elements in the Earth’s climate system. Proceedings of the national Academy of Sciences, 105(6), 1786-1793.